"Market Shake-up: Tesla's $94B Valuation Plunge Sparks Battle for Richest Person Title Between Elon Musk and Jeff Bezos!"

 



The year 2023 marked a spectacular run for Tesla Inc., with its shares experiencing a remarkable surge, more than doubling in a mere 12 months. However, as the dawn of 2024 breaks, Elon Musk's electric vehicle empire finds itself navigating treacherous waters, charting its worst start to any year in its history.


In an astonishing twist of fate, Tesla has witnessed a staggering loss of over $94 billion in market valuation within the initial fortnight of 2024. Unraveling the threads of this financial downturn reveals a confluence of adverse events that have battered the Austin, Texas-based EV giant. Foremost among these is a significant setback stemming from Hertz Global Holdings Inc., the car rental titan, abruptly reversing its stance on electric vehicles. This sudden change has reverberated through Tesla's financial landscape, compounding the challenges posed by yet another price reduction for its vehicles produced in China and the emergence of signals indicating a surge in labor costs.



Compounding the company's predicament is the ominous backdrop of decelerating demand for electric vehicles, particularly within the United States. Cowen analyst Jeffrey Osborne encapsulates the prevailing sentiment, stating, "Investors' main concern on Tesla is stagnating growth." The continuous price slashes in China exacerbate these worries, casting a shadow over the industry's trajectory, resembling a "race to the bottom" amid fierce competition in this pivotal market.


Tesla's market capitalization erosion at the commencement of the year is unparalleled, constituting the most substantial setback the company has faced within a comparable timeframe since its initial public offering in 2010. In terms of percentage decline, Tesla's precipitous 12% drop since the year's inception mirrors the adversity faced in 2016, when the stock plummeted by 14% during the first nine trading days of that year.


To compound the challenges, prospects for an imminent turnaround for the electric vehicle giant appear bleak. The cumulative weight of adverse developments has cast a pall over Tesla's trajectory, raising questions about its resilience in the face of an evolving market landscape.



Tesla Inc. enjoyed a spectacular performance in 2023, with its shares experiencing an impressive surge, more than doubling within a mere 12 months. However, the dawn of 2024 brings a different narrative for Elon Musk's electric vehicle empire, as it grapples with its worst start to any year in its history.


Within the first two weeks of 2024, Tesla has witnessed a staggering loss of over $94 billion in market valuation. The factors contributing to this financial downturn are multifaceted, encompassing a series of adverse events that have hit the Austin, Texas-based electric vehicle giant. Notable among these challenges is a significant setback resulting from Hertz Global Holdings Inc.'s sudden change of stance on electric vehicles, coupled with another price cut for Tesla's cars manufactured in China and indications of escalating labor costs.


These challenges unfold against a backdrop of decelerating demand for electric vehicles, particularly within the United States. Investors express their primary concern as Tesla grapples with stagnating growth. Analyst Jeffrey Osborne from Cowen highlights the intensifying competition in the Chinese market, characterizing it as a "race to the bottom" for the electric vehicle industry.


The impact on Tesla's market capitalization at the beginning of the year is unparalleled, constituting the most significant setback since its initial public offering in 2010. In percentage terms, Tesla's 12% drop since January's commencement mirrors the adversity faced in 2016 when the stock fell by 14% over the first nine trading days of that year.



To compound the challenges, the outlook for an imminent turnaround for the electric vehicle giant appears grim. Tesla had aggressively cut prices on its cars since early 2023 to stimulate demand, but this strategy has led to a steady erosion of its once-hefty profit margin. The automotive gross margin, excluding regulatory credits, fell from 27.9% to 16.3% in the third quarter of the previous year. The pressure mounts further as Tesla's U.S. production workers receive pay raises.


Ivana Delevska, Chief Investment Officer at Spear Invest, emphasizes the cyclical downturn for electric vehicles, exacerbated by competitive dynamics. The continuous price cuts and plummeting margins reflect the unfavorable competitive landscape.


Adding to Tesla's challenges, shipments destined for its Berlin plant had to be rerouted due to Western military actions and security concerns in the Red Sea. The company is suspending most production at its plant near Berlin from January 29 to February 11.


This downturn is a stark contrast to Tesla's warnings about the deceleration in electric vehicle demand during its October third-quarter earnings report. Subsequently, global automakers and suppliers echoed with downbeat forecasts, leading to a general dialing back of expansion plans.


While Tesla reported better-than-expected fourth-quarter delivery numbers earlier this month, it put the company behind China's BYD Co. in global electric car sales. This revelation has served as a rude awakening for Tesla investors, shifting the stock from being the eighth best performer in the S&P 500 last year to the eighth worst performer this year.


Elon Musk, who became the world's richest person in 2023, has personally taken a substantial hit. His net worth has shrunk by $23 billion in the early weeks of 2024, according to the Bloomberg Billionaires Index. Jeff Bezos is rapidly closing in, with $179 billion compared to Musk's $206 billion as of the latest close.


Musk's net worth is primarily derived from his 13% stake in Tesla and around 304 million exercisable stock options. He also owns about 42% of SpaceX, valued at about $53 billion.


Despite these challenges, Tesla remains a key player in the global transition from gas-powered to electric vehicles, primarily due to its significant lead over potential rivals. While China's BYD may have surpassed Tesla in units sold, Tesla maintains its position as the market leader in the U.S., where BYD does not sell cars.


However, Tesla's past success and the high expectations it generated have become a double-edged sword. As investors flocked to the stock, Tesla's market capitalization soared, making it larger than any other car company globally. Yet, with shares priced for perfection, the company became highly susceptible to significant reactions to negative news.


Tesla proponents argue against comparing the company to regular car manufacturers, asserting that its true value lies in the future and its aspiration to develop the first truly self-driving vehicles. However, Tesla has faced challenges in delivering on promises related to fully autonomous driving and AI, which are already factored into its valuation. As Ivana Delevska from Spear notes, merely being another automotive manufacturer might not be sufficient for a company valued at $750 billion.

 

 

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